Sun. Oct 24th, 2021

Team news, stats and prediction ahead of Southampton vs Wolves in the Premier League on Super Sunday; kick-off 2pm.

Team news

Southampton will be without defender Jack Stephens for Sunday’s Premier League game at home to Wolves.

Stephens is set to be sidelined for up to three months after suffering a knee tendon injury in last weekend’s 0-0 draw at champions Manchester City.

Theo Walcott is a Southampton academy graduate
Saints forward Theo Walcott has returned to training following a calf problem but is unlikely to feature

Saints forward Theo Walcott has returned to training following a calf problem but is unlikely to feature, while midfielder Stuart Armstrong remains out with a similar issue.

Wolves duo Rayan Ait Nouri and Yerson Mosquera are missing after joining the club’s injury list during the midweek Carabao Cup defeat to Tottenham.

Ait Nouri is following concussion protocols after a second-half blow to the head, while Mosquera faces more than a month out with a hamstring injury suffered just minutes into his debut.

Jonny and Pedro Neto remain out with knee problems, while Daniel Podence, Willy Boly and Leander Dendoncker performed well enough against Spurs to give manager Bruno Lage pause for thought before returning them to bench duty.

How to follow

Sunday 26th September 1:00pm

Kick off 2:00pm

Southampton vs Wolves is live on Sky Sports Premier League from 1pm; kick-off 2pm. Sky Sports customers can watch in-game clips in the live match blog on the Sky Sports website and app. Highlights will also be published on the Sky Sports digital platforms and the Sky Sports Football YouTube channel shortly after the final whistle.

Last time out…

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Brentford’s win at Wolves

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Manchester City’s draw against Southampton

Jones Knows Prediction

I’m yet to truly get a handle on either of these two teams, which is proving problematic for prediction and betting purposes. Having backed Southampton for relegation in the summer, I’ve been surprised with their performance levels that should have amounted to more than the four draws they have picked up.

Can they get that elusive first win here? Well, the markets can’t split these two. And I’m thinking along the same lines. I do think Wolves will finish considerably higher than Saints come the end of the campaign but their current conversion rate in front of goal makes them impossible to fancy.

Wolves have struggled for goals with just two in the Premier League this season – an own goal by Watford’s Francisco Sierralta and a goal from a yard out by Hee-Chan Hwang in the 2-0 win at Watford. This is despite attempting the third highest amount of shots this season, behind only Manchester City and Liverpool.

Wolves also have the highest expected goals figure this season (9.2) to back up their shots data. The difference of -7.2 between goals scored and expected goals is the biggest negative difference in the Premier League. If they start taking these big chances, then an opposition team is in trouble. I don’t think it’ll start happening here though. A fifth consecutive draw for Southampton has to be the play.


Opta stats

  • Southampton have won just one of their last 10 league meetings with Wolves (D4 L5), a 3-1 home win in April 2019.
  • Wolves have won their last two Premier League away games against Southampton, as many victories as they’d managed in their previous 14 league visits to St Mary’s/The Dell combined (D3 L9).
  • Southampton have opened the scoring in each of their last five Premier League meetings with Wolves. They won first time around (3-1 in April 2019), but have failed to win any of the subsequent four (D2 L2).
  • Each of Southampton’s last four Premier League games has ended level, with Saints last having a longer run of draws back in February 1995 and a joint Premier League record seven in a row.
  • Despite being winless in seven Premier League games (D4 L3), Southampton have kept consecutive clean sheets in the competition, more than they’d managed in their previous 24 league games.
  • Wolves have lost seven of their last eight Premier League games (W1), but are looking to secure back-to-back away wins in the competition for the first time since a run of three in June 2020.

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